国际供应链断裂风险下企业研发竞争与政府研发补贴政策
作者单位:

山东大学

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(重大项目);国家自然科学基金项目(青年项目)


R&D Competition and Government R&D Subsidization under the Risk of International Supply Chain Disruption
Affiliation:

Shandong University

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    摘要:

    国际供应链断裂是严重阻碍中国经济高质量发展的重大风险。本文构建纵向市场企业研发竞争模型,探讨供应链断裂风险对企业研发行为的影响,分析研发补贴应对断供风险的福利效应和有效路径。本文发现,外国供应商断供概率上升会促进国内供应商研发,抑制外国供应商研发,即市场机制本身具有缩小国内外技术差距的功能;断供风险减弱上游市场竞争,虽然有利于国内供应商,但损害下游厂商和最终消费者;当国内外供应商技术差距较大且外国供应商占比较高(“卡脖子”)时,外国供应商断供风险上升会降低国内社会福利;基于研发产出的政府研发补贴政策会挤出研发投入,从而在断供概率较低时会降低国内社会福利,在断供概率较高时则有助于提升国内社会福利;而基于研发支出的补贴政策的挤出效应较小,在断供风险下均能提高国内社会福利。文章为科学制定研发补贴政策,充分发挥市场机制应对断供风险提供了理论支撑。

    Abstract:

    International supply chain disruption is a major risk that seriously hinders high-quality development of China's economy. We have developed an R&D competition model to discuss the impact of supply chain disruption on firms’ R&D behavior, analyze the welfare effects and effective paths of R&D subsidy policy. This article finds that, supply interruption by foreign suppliers will promote domestic R&D and inhibit foreign R&D. In other words, the market mechanism itself has the effect of narrowing the technology gap between domestic and foreign suppliers. Although the risk of supply chain disruption weakens the competition in the upstream market, which is beneficial to domestic suppliers, it harms downstream market manufacturers and consumers. When the technological gap is large and the proportion of foreign suppliers is high ("stranglehold"), the increase of supply interruption risk reduces domestic welfare. The R&D subsidies based on R&D output may crowd out R&D investment, thereby reducing domestic social welfare when supply interruption risk is low and enhance it otherwise. On the other hand, subsidies based on R&D expenditure have a smaller crowding-out effect and can improve domestic social welfare under the risk of supply chain disruption. The article provides theoretical support for scientifically formulating R&D subsidy policies and fully leveraging market mechanisms to address the risk of supply chain disruption.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2023-06-06
  • 最后修改日期:2025-02-05
  • 录用日期:2025-02-11
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