进口冲击与企业跨国供应链转移* ——基于日本大地震的准自然实验
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作者单位:

1.湖南大学经济与贸易学院;2.北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院;3.北京外国语大学国际商学院


Import Shocks and Firms’ Transnational Supply Chains Transfer: Evidence from the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of Economics &2.Trade, Hunan University;3.bnu business school;4.International Business School, BFSU

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    摘要:

    加快实现进口多元化是新时期提升产业链供应链韧性和安全水平工作的重要任务。本文以2011年日本大地震作为准自然实验,基于2007-2014年中国工业企业数据库和中国海关进出口数据库的匹配数据,实证考察了这一重大进口冲击引发的中国企业跨国供应链转移行为。研究发现:地震引发供应链断裂后,国内中间品进口商更倾向与其他国家或地区的企业建立多元化供应链关系。异质性检验显示,这一现象在外资企业、加工贸易企业、龙头企业、地震前仅从日本进口中间品的企业以及对日本中间品依赖程度较高的行业更为显著。拓展性研究显示震后供应链转移呈现出典型的就近化和区域化特征,企业可以充分利用自身贸易、专业化集聚和贸易中介引致的信息溢出效应来推动供应链多元化重构。本文的研究为企业防范化解外部风险冲击、维护供应链安全与稳定提供了经验参考。

    Abstract:

    How firms located in global value chains cope with disruptions of intermediate imports? We exploit the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake as a quasi-natural experiment to investigate how import shocks result in transnational supply chains transfer. We find that intermediate goods importers are inclined to establish diversified supply chains after the supply chain disruption triggered by the Japanese earthquake, but these effects vary across heterogeneity in firms. Specifically, the phenomena of transnational supply chains transfers are more profound for foreign firms, ordinary trade firms, leader firms, imported intermediates only from Japan before Japanese earthquake as well as firms that are highly reliant on inputs import from Japan. Our further analysis shows that the supply chains transfers are characterized as proximity and regionalization, and firms can make full use of import information network constructed by trade intermediaries, importer agglomeration and trade connections to diversify their supply chains.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2023-10-23
  • 最后修改日期:2025-02-17
  • 录用日期:2025-03-28
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