投资者前瞻性信息关注与企业风险承担——基于投资者互动平台的证据
作者单位:

1.厦门大学管理学院;2.中山大学商学院

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)


Investors’ Forward-Looking Information Concerns and Corporate Risk-Taking: Based on the investor interactive platform
Author:
Affiliation:

Xiamen University, School of Management

Fund Project:

The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)

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    摘要:

    本文以2005—2022年上市公司业绩说明会为基础,采用文本分析和机器学习的方法构建投资者前瞻性信息关注指标,考察投资者对企业前瞻性信息的关注行为如何影响企业风险承担. 研究发现,投资者前瞻性信息关注降低了企业风险承担水平,支持了市场压力假说. 进一步分析表明,投资者对企业未来不确定性和风险的担忧是形成市场压力的重要机制,且前瞻性信息关注对风险承担的影响随投资者提问的文本特征不同而有所差异. 考察企业风险承担的具体行为发现,前瞻性信息关注使企业的流动性管理行为和投资行为变得更加保守. 异质性分析发现,上述关系在非国有、融资约束高和分析师关注高的企业中更加突出. 本文的研究丰富了投资者关注行为和前瞻性信息等方面的相关研究,也为监管方进一步规范资本市场的健康发展和发展新质生产力提供了一定启示.

    Abstract:

    This paper investigates how investors' forward-looking information concerns affect corporate risk-taking. Based on the earnings communication conferences of listed firms from 2005 to 2022, we use textual analysis and machine learning to construct investors' forward-looking information concern indicators and then carry out empirical tests. We find that investors' forward-looking information concerns significantly reduces the level of risk-taking of firms, supporting the market pressure hypothesis. Further analysis indicates that investors' concerns about firms’ future uncertainty and risk are important mechanism for market pressure, and the effect of forward-looking information concerns on corporate risk-taking varies with the textual characteristics of investors' questions. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the aforementioned relationship is more prominent in non-state-owned enterprises, enterprises with high financing constraints, and enterprises with high analyst coverage. Examining specific behaviors of corporate risk-taking, we found that forward-looking information concerns make firms’ liquidity management behavior and investment behavior more conservative. The findings in this paper enriches the relevant researches on investors’ behavior and forward-looking information, and also provides some enlightenment for regulators to improve capital market and for developing new quality productive forces.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2024-08-12
  • 最后修改日期:2025-01-24
  • 录用日期:2025-03-18
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