跨期消费不理性偏差与调整:基于内在偏好与外部学习的实验研究
作者单位:

1.浙江财经大学;2.杭州电子科技大学会计学院;3.浙江大学

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)


Intertemporal Consumption and Deviations from Optimal Behavior: An Experimental Study Based on Internal Preferences and External Learnings
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics;2.School of Accouting, Hangzhou Dianzi University;3.Zhejiang University

Fund Project:

The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)

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    摘要:

    消费是一国经济稳定增长的关键动力。但从整个生命周期来看,个体存在消费不足与消费过度并存的跨期消费不理性现象。当前,我国居民消费倾向不高,同时消费金融的快速扩张导致个体难以做出合理的消费决策。因此,分析个体的跨期消费行为并合理利用有效措施进行干预,对于宏观上稳定发挥消费的经济拉动作用,微观上持续提升个体的生活幸福感有着重要意义。本文以有限期生命周期理论模型为基础,在实验中设计收入逐渐增加与收入逐渐降低两种跨期消费情景,分析个体的跨期消费决策,并尝试从内在偏好及外部学习两方面引入干预机制以改善个体的不理性消费行为。实验结果表明,个体在跨期消费时普遍存在不理性消费行为,收入逐渐增加时表现为消费不足,收入逐渐降低时表现为消费过度,且前者程度更大;其次,从内在偏好出发设计的干预机制针对性更强,对特定偏好类型的个体能发挥较好的改善作用,从外部学习出发设计的干预机制,对于不理性消费的改善作用显著;最后,个体的异质性影响不理性消费决策及干预机制的有效性。

    Abstract:

    Consumption is the key driving force for a country's stable economic growth. However, from the perspective of the life cycle, individuals have the irrational behavior on intertemporal consumption in which insufficient consumption and excessive consumption coexist. At present, the consumption tendency of Chinese residents is not high, and the rapid expansion of consumer finance makes it difficult for individuals to make reasonable consumption decisions. Therefore, it is of great significance to analyze the individual's intertemporal consumption behavior and make reasonable use of effective measures to intervene in order to stably play the economic pulling role of consumption on the macro level and continuously improve the individual’s life happiness on the micro level. Based on the theoretical model of finite life cycle, this paper designs two intertemporal consumption scenarios of income increasing and income decreasing in the experiment, analyzes individual intertemporal consumption, and tries to introduce intervention mechanism from internal preference and external learning to improve individual irrational consumption behavior. The experimental results show that individuals generally have irrational consumption behavior when they consume across periods. When their income gradually increases, they are under-consumption, and when their income gradually decreases, they are over-consumption, and the former is more serious; Secondly, the intervention mechanism designed from the perspective of internal preference is more targeted and can play a better role in improving individuals of specific preference types. The intervention mechanism designed from the perspective of external learning can significantly improve irrational consumption; Finally, individual heterogeneity affects the effectiveness of irrational consumption decision-making and intervention mechanism.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2024-08-13
  • 最后修改日期:2025-02-10
  • 录用日期:2025-03-25
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