政务新媒体与财政汲取能力:来自财政微信公众号开通的证据
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中央财经大学

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F812

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本研究是国家社会科学基金青年项目(24CJY071)的阶段性成果,同时获得教育部首批哲学社会科学创新团队“财政基础理论与财税改革研究创新团队”支持。


Governmental New Media and Financial Drawing Capacity: Evidence from the Opening of WeChat Official Accounts in the Financial Department
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Central University of Finance and Economics

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    摘要:

    在数字政府建设浪潮中,政务新媒体成为公共财政管理的关键力量。本文基于53.03万条省级财税微信公众号及28.44万条省级税务微博文章,结合2006-2022年281个地级市的面板数据,利用大语言模型等文本分析技术及交错双重差分、空间双重差分模型,深入探讨了以财政公众号为代表的政务新媒体平台对地方政府财政汲取能力的提升效应。研究结果显示:首先,财政公众号的开通对财政汲取能力具有显著的正向效应,能够有效促进汲取规模和力度的提升,这一效果通过增税源、优营商、强公信三条路径实现。其次,财政汲取能力的提升在地理空间上展现出正向溢出特性,而省级和市级财政公众号的空间溢出效应存在层级差异,前者呈现负向溢出,而后者则为正向。最后,异质性分析表明:具有较强原创性、形式创新性和宣传聚焦性的财政公众号对财政汲取能力的提升作用更为显著,而发文频繁但主题分散的公众号效果较弱;在财税政策宣传和信息公开力度较大的情形下,财政公众号的促进效应更为明显;市级财政公众号在省会、二级财政及网络发展水平较高城市展现出更强的正向效应,且省、市两级财政公众号在上述城市中的政策影响力普遍优于其他普通城市。以上发现为提升地方财税政务新媒体建设提供了重要的实证依据和政策启示。

    Abstract:

    In the context of the digital transformation of government, governmental new medias are emerging as a significant force in the management of public finance. This study draws on 530,000 WeChat posts and 284,000 Weibo posts published by provincial financial and taxation departments, combined with panel data from 281 prefectural-level cities spanning from 2006 to 2022. Utilizing large language models for text analysis, along with staggered difference-in-differences and spatial difference-in-differences models, the paper investigates the impact of governmental new media—exemplified by fiscal WeChat official accounts—on the fiscal drawing capacity of local governments. The results reveal three key findings. First, the establishment of fiscal WeChat accounts has a significant positive effect on fiscal drawing capacity, enhancing both its scale and intensity. This impact is realized through three primary channels: expanding tax sources, optimizing the business environment, and strengthening public trust. Second, the improvement in fiscal drawing capacity exhibits positive spatial spillover effects; however, spillovers differ by administrative level—provincial accounts tend to generate negative spillovers, while municipal accounts yield positive ones. Third, heterogeneity analysis shows that fiscal accounts with stronger originality, more innovative formats, and focused messaging more effectively enhance fiscal drawing capacity, whereas accounts with excessive posting frequency and dispersed themes perform less effectively. Furthermore, accounts that emphasize tax policy communication and fiscal transparency demonstrate stronger positive impacts. Municipal-level fiscal accounts are especially effective in provincial capitals, fiscally independent cities, and regions with more advanced digital infrastructure, where both provincial and municipal accounts outperform their counterparts in other cities. These findings provide robust empirical support and valuable policy insights for optimizing the development and utilization of governmental new medias in local fiscal governance.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-19
  • 最后修改日期:2025-10-19
  • 录用日期:2025-10-22
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