多层网络视角下沪深港股票市场关联性演化研究
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1.首都经济贸易大学管理工程学院;2.华南理工大学工商管理学院

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国家自然科学基金资助项目(71720107002;72071134);教育部人文社会科学基金项目(19YJAZH005);北京市属高校高水平教师队伍建设支持计划--长城学者培养计划项目(CIT&TCD20190338)


Evolution of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Hong Kong Stock Markets’ Interrelationships from the Perspective of Multilayer Network
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1.Capital University of Economics and Business;2.South China University of Technology

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    摘要:

    随着“沪港通”和“深港通”的开通,沪深港股票市场间关联性日趋紧密,而充分认识沪深港股票市场间关联性的演化特征,对维持沪深港股票市场的稳定具有重要的价值。本文从多层网络视角出发,同时考虑股票收益率间的相关性和投资者情绪间的相关性,构建沪深港股票市场多层网络,进而探究沪深港股票市场间的关联关系及演化过程。结果表明,“沪港通”开通后,沪深港股票市场收益率间的关联性以及投资者情绪间的关联性没有显著增强,但不同市场间收益率与投资者情绪的关联性显著增强。而“深港通”开通后,沪深港股票市场收益率间、投资者情绪间以及收益率与投资者情绪间的关联性均显著增强。此外,不同市场之间收益率与投资者情绪间的交互关系并不对称,沪深两市股票收益率与港市股票投资者情绪的关联性较高,而港市股票收益率与沪深两市股票投资者情绪的关联性却较低。

    Abstract:

    With the implementation of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect programs, the interrelationships among Shanghai, Shenzhen and Hong Kong stock markets have become increasingly close. Therefore, a better understanding of the evolution of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Hong Kong stock markets’ interrelationships is of great value for maintaining the stability of these stock markets. In this paper, a multilayer network of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Hong Kong stock markets is constructed to analyze the evolution of these stock markets’ interrelationships, in which both the correlation between stock returns and that between investor sentiments are considered. The experimental results show that, after the implementation of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect program, only the correlation between stock returns and investor sentiments in different stock markets is significantly enhanced. However, after the implementation of Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect program, the interrelationships among Shanghai, Shenzhen and Hong Kong stock markets are improved significantly. Additionally, the correlation between stock returns and investor sentiments in different markets is not symmetrical. Specifically, the correlation between stock returns in Shanghai, Shenzhen stock markets and investor sentiments in Hong Kong stock market is high, while the correlation between stock returns in Hong Kong stock market and investor sentiments in Shanghai, Shenzhen stock markets is low.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-02-28
  • 最后修改日期:2022-02-20
  • 录用日期:2022-06-04
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