有限信息分享网络下的投资策略、信息获取与资产定价
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Investment strategy, information acquisition, and asset pricing in limited information sharing networks
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    摘要:

    理性预期均衡框架中,假设知情交易者之间组成无限(宽广)网络并根据网络联结进行有限信息分享,探究信息分享对理性交易者的信息获取、投资策略及资产定价质量的影响.结果发现,当信息获取外生时:信息分享不影响知情交易者对私人信息的投机交易强度,但负向影响所有理性交易者的做市交易强度;信息分享扩大了知情交易者团体的私人信息优势,使得更多信息通过交易融入价格,提高了价格发现效率;虽然信息分享加剧市场信息不对称程度,但随之增加的价格信息含量降低了非知情交易者的信息劣势进而缓解信息不对称程度,且该作用总是占优,最终导致市场流动性提高.信息获取内生时,信息市场均衡中,信息分享对私人信息获取产生策略替代或策略互补作用,并通过投资者交易行为影响证券市场均衡中的定价质量:价格发现效率随信息分享广度的增加而提高;与信息获取外生情况下相反,流动性与信息分享呈现单增或U型关系.结论说明:风险交易资产风险较大、噪声交易较多的市场情况不明朗时,信息分享促进市场流动性并提高价格发现效率;相反,在风险资产风险较小、噪声交易较少的较明朗市场情况中,小范围的信息分享虽然提高价格发现效率但会损害市场流动性,而大范围的信息分享则改善市场流动性.本研究延伸了信息分享网络理论在市场微观结构层面的研究触角,帮助全面客观认识信息的网络分享传播对证券市场的影响,为如何规范引导投资者在社交媒体和网络上的信息交流,以维护市场流动性和更好发挥证券市场价格发现作用提供了理论参考.

    Abstract:

    Based on market microstructure theory, this study develops a model in which rational informed traders trade against rational uninformed traders and noise traders in a one-shot game within a rational expectations equilibrium (REE) framework. In this model, each informed trader is connected with some other (e.g., k) informed traders, sharing his private information with them while also obtaining their private information. That is, he and his k connected informed traders mutually share their private information before trading. However, the informed traders are assumed to never share or deliver any information to the uninformed traders, who can only learn information from the risky asset’s price. With this information-sharing network, this study aims to analyze the implications of informed traders’ limited information sharing for rational traders’ strategic trading behavior and the consequent asset pricing quality, including price discovery efficiency and market liquidity. The results are as follows. First, with exogenous information acquisition, an informed traders’ demand schedule consists of a speculative part and a market-making part. Because their information sharing does not change the precision of each private signal, the intensity of speculative trading remains unchanged, while the intensity of market-making is negatively affected by the extent of information sharing, k. The rational uninformed traders’ trading strategy includes only market-making part, whose trading intensity equals that of the informed traders. Second, information sharing among informed traders results in more informed trading, leading to more information being incorporated into the clearing price and thus boosting price discovery efficiency. Information sharing aggravates information asymmetry between informed and uninformed traders. However, this effect is alleviated and outweighed by the resulting greater price informativeness, as it enables uninformed traders to learn more information by observing the price. Consequently, the market liquidity gets better. On the other hand, with endogenous information acquisition, information sharing creates a strategic substitution or complementarity effect in rational traders’ information acquisition choices within the information market equilibrium, which impacts trading behaviors and, consequently, asset pricing outcomes. Price discovery efficiency increases with the informed traders’ information sharing, while market liquidity is not linearly affected by the information sharing. Specifically, in an unclear market situation where the ex-ante risk of the traded risky asset is higher and/or the noise trading is greater, market liquidity improves with information sharing. In contrast, in a relatively clearer market situation where the ex-ante risk of the traded risky asset is lower and/or the noise trading is less, market liquidity is U-shaped in its response to information sharing among informed traders. In summary, this study extends the research of information sharing network theory from the perspective of market microstructure theory and helps illustrate the implications of information sharing and dissemination on social media and networks for the security market more comprehensively and objectively. The findings of this study also provide some theoretical insights on how to regulate and guide investors’ information sharing on social media and networks to maintain market liquidity and accelerate price discovery in the securities market.

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刘霞,刘善存,张强.有限信息分享网络下的投资策略、信息获取与资产定价[J].管理科学学报,2025,(4):80~95

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-05-08
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