环境规制与产业结构调整对能源消耗的影响
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The impact of environmental regulations and industrial structure adjustment on energy consumption
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    摘要:

    有效缓解能源消耗问题是我国建设资源节约型,环境友好型社会的关键之举.在我国产业结构不断调整与优化的背景下,环境规制如何影响我国能源消耗?为回答这一问题,本研究通过搜集整理2006年—2017年我国30个省市自治区的面板数据,采用面板矫正标准误估计方法(PCSE)实证分析了不同环境规制对工业能源消耗的直接作用与间接影响.研究结果表明:1)环境规制对工业能源消耗的影响显著,市场激励型环境规制表现最优,公众监督型环境规制次之,命令控制型环境规制影响较弱;2)环境规制与产业结构的交互项证实了市场激励型、公众监督型环境规制对能源消耗的综合效应,来自政府的环境规制行为能够有效引导我国产业结构的调整与优化,降低能源消耗;3)环境规制与能源消耗的门限回归模型验证了命令控制型环境规制的非线性影响,能源节约效果因环境规制程度的不同而出现差异.基于研究结果,本文提出在环境规制推行过程中要有所侧重、注重发挥其对产业结构优化调整的引导作用等政策建议,为我国有效改善能源消耗问题提供有益的借鉴与指导.

    Abstract:

    Effectively alleviating the problem of energy consumption has become a key measure in building a resource-conserving and environment-friendly society in China. How does environmental regulation affect energy consumption in China against the background of continuous adjustment and optimization of industrial structure? In order to answer this question, this paper applies the PCSE method to empirically analyze the direct and indirect effects of different environmental regulations on industrial energy consumption, using the panel data from 30 provinces and cities in China from 2006 to 2017. The results show that: 1) Environmental regulations significantly influence industrial energy consumption. Market incentive environmental regulation performs the best, followed by public supervision environmental regulation,while the impact of command-and-control environmental regulation is weaker; 2) The interaction terms between environmental regulation and industrial structure confirm the comprehensive effect of market incentive and public supervision environmental regulations on energy consumption. Environmental regulations from the government can guide the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure, thereby effectively reducing energy consumption; 3) The threshold regression model of the command-and-control environmental regulation and energy consumption verifies the nonlinear impact.The energy saving effect varies with the degree of environmental regulation. According to the research results, several policy suggestions are put forward, such as paying different attention to the process of carrying out environmental regulation, focusing on its guiding role in the optimization and adjustment of industrial structure, to provide instructive reference and guidance for effectively reducing energy consumption.

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张国兴,贾宇琪,保海旭,聂龑,胡毅.环境规制与产业结构调整对能源消耗的影响[J].管理科学学报,2025,(9):1~12

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-11-03
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