人工神经网络方法在投资风险评价中的应用
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:


The application of artificial neural network(ANN) on investment risk evaluation
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    风险评价是投资风险管理的关键步骤,是对项目整体风险水平作出合理评价的过程.本文将人工智能方法用于解决投资风险管理问题,研究了用人工神经网络方法进行风险评价的可行性,确定了神经网络投资风险评价模型的结构和算法,计算出了节点间的权重分布.利用该模型进行了实证分析,取得满意效果

    Abstract:

    Risk evaluation is a key management step employed to avoid or prevent investment risk by appraising the risk level of a certain investment project before its execution. An artificial intelligence method is an effective choice of investment risk management. As a component of the artificial intelligence method, the artificial neural network(ANN)is dealt with in this paper. The feasibility of the ANN as an appraising tool against investment risk is discussed. Thus, the ANN model is set up, and its structure is carefully designed.In the ANN mod eI as risk evaluation.the inputs of the network should be the indices that desaribe or may cause the investment risks,and then the output wilI show the risk Ieve1.On the basis of the investment risk distinction.the input units and the output units are defined.The concealed Iayers and units are also determined by making use of the ANN theories and method s.In addition,the relationship between the training frequency of the network and the precision of the output has been studied and the best training frequency thus obtained should be 200 thousand times.So ma ny times of studying 41 samples with the network have resulted in the distribution of the weights among the points of the mode1.This modeI has been applied to the rea1 cases of some investment projects to evaluate their respective risk 1evels.and the results have proved satisfactory.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

郑立群; 吴育华; 周伯康; 夏庆;.人工神经网络方法在投资风险评价中的应用[J].管理科学学报,1999,2(4):

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期:
  • 出版日期:
您是第位访问者
管理科学学报 ® 2024 版权所有
通讯地址:天津市南开区卫津路92号天津大学第25教学楼A座908室 邮编:300072
联系电话/传真:022-27403197 电子信箱:jmsc@tju.edu.cn