流动性过剩与全球失衡的单变量冲击分析
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赵文生( 1968 ―) ,男,山西汾阳人,博士,教授. zhaowensheng2004@163.com

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国家自然科学基金资助项目( 71571044) ; 国家社会科学基金资助项目( 16BJY178)


Impact analysis of separate variables on the excess liquidity and global imbalances: A perspective from money dilution theory
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    摘要:

    基于货币稀释理论建立流动性过剩与全球失衡的一般均衡模型,分析流动性过剩、储蓄、消费、金融发展、经济增长等因素对世界经济的冲击影响,证明了十个重要命题.通过这些命题的组合和演绎,能够从理论上全面、科学和合理地解释世界经济中出现的经济现象.文章的结论不仅能够覆盖相关文献的主要观点,而且将文章提出的理论渗透到社会再生产的四个环节,揭示了当今世界经济的发展逻辑.美国利用美元的国际储备货币地位,在分配中无偿获得了世界经济的发展成果.美国依靠比较优势发展的虚拟经济,在与别国实体经济的交换中获利,支持了美国的过度消费,导致美国经常账户赤字,造成全球失衡,对金融危机负有主要责任.

    Abstract:

    The paper builds a general equilibrium model to study excess liquidity and the global imbalances. The impacts of factors such as excess liquidity,savings,consumption,financial development and economic growth on the world economy are analyzed and ten important propositions are proposed. The model can theoretically explain phenomena in the world economy comprehensively,scientifically,and reasonably. The conclusions obtained can not only cover the main viewpoints of the relevant literature but also reveal the development logic of today's world economy by infiltrating the theories into the four links of social reproduction. The United States freely acquires the fruits of the development of world economy by makinguse of his international reserve currency. The United States makes a profit from fictitious economy by exchanging with the real economies of other countries according to his comparative advantage. This supports the excessive consumption in the United States and leads to the US current account deficit which contributes to global imbalances. The United States has the main responsibility for the financial crisis.

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赵文生,刘树林.流动性过剩与全球失衡的单变量冲击分析[J].管理科学学报,2018,21(3):23~40+93

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  • 在线发布日期: 2018-05-13
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