寿命有限条件下的理性成瘾行为分析
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C61; D01; I10; K32

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国家社会科学基金资助项目( 16BGL136)


Rational addictive behavior with finite lifetime
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    摘要:

    在Becker与Murphy的"理性成瘾"理论基础上进行了拓展研究.在假定成瘾者预期寿命有限的条件下,构建了有限时域理性成瘾模型,并运用最优控制理论获得了最优成瘾消费与成瘾资本的显式表达式.研究表明,预期寿命的延长,理性成瘾者会相对降低对成瘾品的消费量;成瘾品的消费量与成瘾者的风险偏好、耐心程度和成瘾资本衰减速率等因素有关;成瘾消费具体表现为随年龄增长而单调上升或者先缓慢下降然后再快速上升这两种情形.基于中国健康与营养调查(CHNS)香烟与酒类消费数据,实证分析了寿命有限约束下理性成瘾理论的合理性.研究还表明,在控制和戒除有害成瘾行为的过程中,应该充分考虑成瘾者的个体特征以及成瘾物品本身特性所产生的潜在影响.

    Abstract:

    On the basis of Becker and Murphy’s theory of rational addiction,this paper makes an extended study. Under the assumption that the life expectancy of addicts is limited,a rational addiction model with finitetime horizon is constructed,and the explicit expressions of optimal addictive consumption and addictive capital are obtained by using the optimal control theory. Studies show that with the increase of life expectancy,rational addicts will reduce their addictive consumption. The addictive consumption is related to the addict’s risk preference and degree of patience and the depreciation rate of addictive capital. The optimal consumption paths demonstrate two typical patterns-monotonically increasing or first slowly decreasing and then rapidly increasing with age. Based on the data of cigarette and alcohol consumption from CHNS,the new model is briefly investigated from an empirical perspective. The study also indicates that in the process of controlling and eliminating harmful addictive behavior,more attention should be paid to the individual characteristics of addicts and addictive goods themselves.

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任庆忠,张 荣.寿命有限条件下的理性成瘾行为分析[J].管理科学学报,2019,22(8):46~58

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-10-25
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