市场情绪与基金投资策略:迎合还是修正?
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

东北大学工商管理学院

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)


Market Sentiment and Fund Investment Strategy: Catering or Contrarian
Author:
Affiliation:

Northeastern University

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    基金投资策略选择是学术界、监管者和市场参与者共同关注的焦点。本文根据行为资产定价理论将基金投资策略量化为组合收益的市场情绪敏感度,首次在微观层面对其按照市场状态分类界定为迎合情绪策略与修正情绪策略,通过理论模型和实证检验探究基金的投资策略选择对其流量、风险和经理努力程度产生的系统影响,从行为委托代理视角剖析基金业绩的影响机制。研究发现:基金采取迎合策略时,对投资者特别是个体投资者更有吸引力,但会对投资者利益造成隐性侵害,表现为基金未来的风险增大、收益降低,且基金经理在无需付出更多努力的情况下可获得更高报酬。进一步分析表明,基金经理为取悦投资者的消极放任行为是其业绩表现不佳的重要原因;基金采取修正策略时,产生的系列影响则完全相反。本研究为中小投资者的投资实践、基金治理与监管,及解释基金市场异象提供了新的思路与启示。

    Abstract:

    The investment strategy of mutual funds is the focus of common concern among academia, regulators and market participants. Based on the behavioral asset pricing theory, this paper quantifies fund investment strategies as the market sentiment sensitivity of portfolio returns and it is classified as sentiment catering strategy and contrarian strategy according to market conditions for the first time at the micro-level. To explore the systematic influence of investment strategy selection on fund flow, risk and manager’s effort by theoretical models and empirical tests, and analyze the influence mechanism of fund performance from the perspective of behavioral principal-agent. The result shows that, funds are more attractive to investors, especially individual investors when adopting the sentiment catering strategy, however, it will cause hidden infringements on the interests of investors, which is manifested by increased risks and reduced returns of the fund in the future, and fund managers achieve higher returns without having to pay more efforts. Further analysis shows that the passive laissez-faire behavior of fund managers only to please investors is an important reason for their poor performance; when the fund adopts the contrarian strategy, the effects are completely opposite. This study provides new approaches and enlightenment for the investment practice of small- and medium-sized, fund governance and supervision, and the explanation of fund market anomalies.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2021-01-04
  • 最后修改日期:2022-07-21
  • 录用日期:2022-07-28
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-08-02
  • 出版日期:
您是第位访问者
管理科学学报 ® 2024 版权所有
通讯地址:天津市南开区卫津路92号天津大学第25教学楼A座908室 邮编:300072
联系电话/传真:022-27403197 电子信箱:jmsc@tju.edu.cn