金融去杠杆对中国沪深股票市场的冲击———基于融资融券的视角
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F832.5

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国家自然科学基金资助项目(71972044; 71502038)


The impact of financial deleveraging on Chinese stock market: The role of changing rules for margin trading
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    摘要:

    2016 年 12 月 2 日上交所和深交所同时修订了有关融资融券的《实施细则》,根据新规,市盈率大于 300 的股票将不再作为融资抵押品. 利用该制度变迁作为一次自然实验,检验制度变化对融资买入以及股票价格的冲击效应. 研究发现: 第一,融资新政有效地降低了市场整体融资买入额,特别是高市盈率和高融资杠杆公司的融资买入额; 第二,融资新政也产生了一定的挤出效应,相对增加了高贝塔系数和高换手公司的融资买入; 第三,融资需求的下降显著冲击了价格,特别是弹性差的股票. 实验证据表明,在各领域制定去杠杆的规则时,可以采用更多元的指标体系以缓解挤出效应的影响; 并且应充分考虑对该市场供求关系的影响以及资产的弹性大小,以避免造成资产价格的大幅波动.

    Abstract:

    On December 2,2016,Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange simultaneously revised the Implementation Rules for Margin Trading and Short Selling. According to the new rules,stocks with P /E ratios greater than 300 will no longer be eligible as financing collaterals. This paper uses this institutional change as a natural experiment to test its impact on margin purchasing and stock prices. The results show that: first,the revised margin trading rules effectively reduce the overall margin purchase amount in the market,especially for stocks with a high price earnings ratio and stocks with a high financing leverage; second,the revised margin trading rules have generated some crowding out effect,by relatively increasing the margin purchase for high beta and high turnover companies; third,the decline of margin purchase significantly affects stock prices,especially for the stocks with low price elasticity. The evidence suggests that,when formulating deleveraging rules in various fields,a multi-dimensional index system may help mitigate associated crowding out effect. It will also be helpful to take into consideration the impact on market supply and demand condition as well as price elasticity of assets,so as to avoid large fluctuations in asset prices.

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李远鹏,孙谦,田澍.金融去杠杆对中国沪深股票市场的冲击———基于融资融券的视角[J].管理科学学报,2021,24(5):87~96

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-10-25
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