在竞争中应对关键零部件断供风险的库存策略
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作者单位:

1.重庆大学经济与工商管理学院;2.复旦大学管理学院

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F224

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,杰青项目,重大项目)71971033; 72025102;72293560/72293565


Inventory Strategies for Mitigating Disruption Risks of Critical Components under Competition
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1.School of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University;2.School of Management, Fudan University

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    摘要:

    重点行业与企业的关键零部件供应中断风险日益突出。本文研究在竞争中如何运用策略性库存应对关键零部件断供风险。在由一个供应商和两个竞争性制造商组成的供应链模型中,考虑两周期博弈。在第二周期,不同的断供风险可能导致一个或者两个制造商的零部件供应中断;因此,制造商有动机在第一周期策略性囤积库存。分析结论表明,制造商应对断供风险的库存策略与自身以及竞争对手的风险状态密切相关;随着断供发生概率的提高,零部件批发价和企业期望利润会出现非单调的增减变化。单一制造商面临断供风险的状态可能反而增大供应商的期望利润;因此,供应商有动机刻意营造针对单一制造商的断供风险,而政府有必要做出可信的制裁威胁以维护供应安全。

    Abstract:

    In recent years, supply chain disruption for critical components in key industries has become an increasingly prominent issue. This paper investigates how to employ inventory strategies to address the disruption risk of critical components under competition. In a supply chain model consisting of one supplier and two competing manufacturers, a two-period game is considered, where in the second period, due to different supply disruption reasons, one or both manufacturers experience supply disruptions. Consequently, manufacturers have an incentive to strategically stockpile inventory in the first period. The analysis reveals that the optimal inventory strategies highly depend on the disruption risks faced by both the focal manufacturer and its competitor. As the disruption risks increase, the optimal wholesale price of critical components and the expected profits of all firms exhibit non-monotonic changes. Interestingly, the disruption risk faced by only one manufacturer may enhance the supplier’s expected profit. Thus, the supplier might deliberately create the disruption risk for a single manufacturer. Accordingly, it is necessary for our government to respond by making a credible threat of sanctions against such suppliers to improve supply security.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2023-07-10
  • 最后修改日期:2024-06-20
  • 录用日期:2024-06-22
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