“一带一路”倡议、市场进入与企业长期经济绩效
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The Belt and Road Initiative, market entry, and long-term firm performance
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    摘要:

    本研究选取2009年—2018年间我国上市公司为样本,利用事件分析法测算企业对“一带一路”倡议的短期资本市场反应,进而基于“一带一路”倡议这一准自然实验环境构建双重差分模型,探究“一带一路”倡议对企业绩效以及企业市场进入行为的长期影响.研究发现:1)“一带一路”倡议引致的企业累计异常收益为正,但异常收益为负值的企业占比略高于正值企业;2)“一带一路”倡议显著促进了企业投资的扩大、规模的扩张、收益的提高以及企业市场进入行为的增加,且倡议的积极影响主要通过融资约束机制实现;3)“一带一路”倡议对企业绩效及市场进入的影响因企业特征、地区制度环境及行业特征存在一定的异质性.本研究为当前保护主义抬头背景下“一带一路”倡议的建设、经济全球化的发展,以及如何依托“一带一路”建设,更好地构建新发展格局提供了经验证据.

    Abstract:

    With a sample of Chinese listed companies from 2009 to 2018, we adopt an event study approach to proxy the short-term capital market response of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Subsequently, a general difference-in-differences framework is employed to explore the long-term impact of the initiative on corporate performance and market entry with BRI as a quasi-natural experimental. Our findings are as followed: 1) The cumulative abnormal returns induced by the BRI are positive, but the proportion of enterprises with negative abnormal returns slightly exceeds those with positive returns; 2) The BRI significantly promotes the expansion of investment, the growth of scale, the increase in returns, and the enhancement of market entry. And we find financing constraints as the main mechanism of the above findings; 3) We further provide some heterogeneities according to firm features, regional institutional environments, and industry characteristics. This study provides empirical evidences for the construction of the BRI, the development of economic globalization, and how to build a new development pattern under the current background of trade protectionism.

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丁浩员,李怡,靳玉英.“一带一路”倡议、市场进入与企业长期经济绩效[J].管理科学学报,2024,(7):118~141

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-09-04
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