个体借贷关系网络特征与违约研究——来自互联网融资平台的证据
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Characteristics of individual lending relationship network and borrowers’default: Evidence from Internet financing platforms
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    摘要:

    本研究应用复杂网络分析方法研究了互联网融资平台个体借贷关系网络特征与借款人违约问题.提出了融资平台个体借贷关系网络的构建方法,构建了互联网借贷平台人人贷个体借贷关系网络,刻画了该网络的整体特征以及违约借款人群体和不同信用等级借款人群体、纯投资者群体构成的子网络特征.揭示了借款人和投资者的行为选择规律.分析了借款人网络拓扑特征与借款信息的相关性,构建了借款人违约与借款人网络拓扑特征、借款信息的三个回归模型.研究发现:构造的网络拓扑特征对于个体借贷关系结构具有很强的解释力;借款人节点的网络拓扑特征与借款人的违约存在显著相关关系,且这种关系在不同属性借款人群体中也具有稳健性;研究结果能够用于各类互联网融资平台借款人信用风险评估及违约预测.

    Abstract:

    This paper applies the complex network analysis method to study the individual lending network characteristics on Internet financing platforms and borrower’s default problem.The paper proposes a method to establish the individual lending network, constructs the lending network of Renrendai.com, and depicts the features of the overall network and subnetworks that are separated by borrowers and pure investors according to their default status and credit ratings. Based on this, the behavior rules of borrowers and investors are discussed and the correlation between the network topology characteristics of borrowers and loan information is analyzed. Then three regression models for borrowers’network topology characteristics, loan information and their defaults are constructed. The results show that the network topology has a strong explanatory power for the structure of lendingborrowing relationship. There is a significant correlation between the network topology characteristics of borrower nodes and the borrowers’default, and this correlation is also robust among groups of borrowers with different credit ratings. These findings can be applied to borrower credit risk assessment and default prediction on Internet financing platforms.

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张卫国,李华,王超.个体借贷关系网络特征与违约研究——来自互联网融资平台的证据[J].管理科学学报,2024,(9):145~158

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-11-11
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