促进居民消费结构升级的宏观调控研究
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Macro-control research on promoting the upgrading of residents’consumption structure
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    摘要:

    促进居民消费结构升级有助于发挥我国超大规模市场优势和内需潜力,推动国内产业结构调整和经济增长模式的转换.本研究构建异质性的多部门DSGE模型,分析宏观政策组合对居民消费结构升级的促进作用,并通过福利分析测算不同力度的政策组合的实施效果.研究显示结构性货币政策可以促进高端消费品的生产,为居民消费结构升级提供物质基础,推动高收入家庭的消费结构升级;对高收入家庭的适当征税和向低收入家庭的转移支付相结合的机制,可以约束高收入家庭的过度高消费和促进低收入家庭的消费结构升级,减少政府支出和降低调控成本;福利分析可以测算宏观政策组合的最优度.建议实施结构性货币政策与税收转移支付政策相结合的宏观调控机制,从供给端与需求端同时发力,精准调控和推动我国居民的消费结构升级.

    Abstract:

    This paper constructs a heterogeneous DSGE model to analyze the effect of macro-policy combination on the upgrading of consumption structure and makes welfare analysis on the impact of different policy combinations. The results show that structural monetary policy can promote the production of advanced consumer goods and provide a material basis for the upgrading of consumption structure.The mechanism of combining the taxation of high-income families with the transfer payment to low-income families can restrict the excessive high consumption of high-income families and promote the upgrading of the consumption structure of low-income families. It can also provide sufficient sources of regulation funds and reduce the regulation cost of the government. Welfare analysis can measure the optimal degree of macro policy portfolio. It is suggested to design a macro-control mechanism combining structural monetary policy and tax transfer payment policy, and carry out accurate regulation from the supply side and demand side to promote the upgrading of the consumption structure.

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马理,张人中,马威.促进居民消费结构升级的宏观调控研究[J].管理科学学报,2025,(1):145

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-02-14
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