不确定交货期下供应链协同鲁棒调度优化
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Supply chain collaboration robust scheduling considering uncertain due dates for customers
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    摘要:

    从供应链系统角度给予客户柔性不确定交货时间自由,一方面可以提高供应链竞争力和客户满意度,而另一方面则会对供应链系统高效运营带来挑战.基于此需求,本研究考虑供应链协同制造模式下协同企业具有不同生产启动成本、需要提前准备和采购期较长的特点,构建基于盒子不确定集交货期下的两阶段供应链协同鲁棒调度优化模型,实现降低决策保守性及供应链系统成本优化.针对该模型采用行列生成(C&CG)算法框架精确求解,依据模型目标函数对于不确定参数的凸性质对子问题进行转化从而构造出对偶问题简化求解.数值仿真算例分析了交货期不确定区间变化对两阶段鲁棒调度策略的影响,并针对不同订单真实交货期场景下的单阶段鲁棒最优成本、两阶段鲁棒最优成本和事后最优成本进行了对比.同时,对预估及真实交货期区间存在偏差下的真实成本进行了对比分析.结果表明两阶段鲁棒决策成本显著优于单阶段鲁棒成本,与事后最优成本相比差距也不大,且在不同交货期实现的场景下总成本波动较小,并对交货区间预估偏差的敏感性显著小于单阶段鲁棒方案,从而验证了两阶段鲁棒优化模型可显著改善调度策略的保守性和不灵活性,有效应对柔性不确定交货时间的需求.

    Abstract:

    Providing customers with flexible and uncertain due dates from the perspective of the supply chain system can improve the competitiveness of the supply chain and customer satisfaction. At the same time, it also brings challenges to the efficient operation of the supply chain system. To this end, this paper considers the characteristics of collaborative enterprises in the supply chain collaborative manufacturing model, such as different production startup costs, the need for advance preparation, and long procurement lead times. A two-stage supply chain collaborative robust scheduling optimization model is constructed based on the box uncertainty set of due dates. This model is designed to minimize the costs of the supply chain system by reducing decision conservatism. The column-and-constraint generation algorithm (C&CG) is used to solve this model exactly, and the subproblem is transformed based on the convexity of the objective function under uncertainty to construct a simplified dual problem. Numerical simulation examples analyze the impact of uncertain due date changes on the two-stage robust scheduling strategy and compare the robust optimal cost of single-stage, two-stage, and hindsight strategies under different real due date scenarios. Meanwhile, the real cost due to the deviation between the estimated and the actual due date intervals is compared and analyzed. The results show that the cost of the two-stage robust model is significantly lower than that of the single-stage robust model, and the gap is also not large compared to the hindsight optimal cost. In addition, the cost of the two-stage robust model shows relatively small variance, and the two-stage robust solution is much less sensitive to the estimation error of the due date intervals than the single-stage robust solution. Therefore, the two-stage robust optimization model can significantly improve the conservatism and inflexibility of the scheduling strategies and effectively respond to the needs of flexible, uncertain due dates.

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唐亮,王清阁,谭真,孙开衡.不确定交货期下供应链协同鲁棒调度优化[J].管理科学学报,2025,(6):103~118

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-30
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