债券市场注册制改革、垄断竞争与评级膨胀
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Moving to registration-based offering, monopolistic competition and credit rating inflation in bond market
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    摘要:

    全面转向注册制将对中国资本市场产生全局性重大影响.但现有文献没有回答债券市场发行审核权下放、转向注册制会缓解还是加剧债券市场信息不对称的问题.基于Bolton, Freixas和Shapiro[1]经典模型,结合中国债券市场特点,扩展建立了垄断竞争下的信号博弈模型,得到注册制下评级膨胀分离均衡解及相应的检验假设.实证部分利用中国公司债发行“注册制”转型(核准制改革)的准自然实验,运用工商登记号精准匹配公司债券和中期票据的实证策略,给出了支持注册制下评级膨胀分离均衡的证据.证据表明,头部评级机构会利用公司债发行制度改革形成的套利空间实施垄断型评级膨胀,而其他评级机构则会随后实施竞争性评级膨胀,发行主体会增加私有信息隐藏.建议从强制信息披露、提高信誉惩戒、加强投资者教育等方面进一步完善中国债券市场注册制改革的配套制度建设.

    Abstract:

    The full shift to a registration-based offering will have an encompassing impact on China’s capital market. However, the existing literature does not answer whether the deregulation of bond market issuance review and the shift to a registration system alleviate or exacerbate the information asymmetry problem in the bond market. This paper extends the classical model of Bolton, Freixas, and Shapiro (2012) to construct a signaling game model under monopolistic competition that fits the characteristics of the Chinese bond market and proves that the rating inflation separation equilibrium holds under the registration system. By exploiting the transformation of the offering institution to He-Zhun (examine and approve) in China corporate bond market, which is a segment of the overall China bond market, the paper tests the hypothesis that the market reform process will lead to rating inflation. Our empirical strategy is constructed by accurately matching the treated group of corporate bonds and the control group of medium-term notes with the same Industrial and Commercial Registration Number. Our findings support the theoretical result of the separation equilibrium in rating inflation under the registration system. Our evidence indicates that the monopoly rater inflates ratings to cater to AAA bonds, while other raters inflate ratings for lower-rated bonds. The issuer increases private information hiding. Based on the information asymmetry in the bond market, this paper test the policy effect of the registration-based offering of bond market and provides empirical evidence for improving the supporting system of the bond market registration-based system.

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石晓军,赵鹤森,谭松涛.债券市场注册制改革、垄断竞争与评级膨胀[J].管理科学学报,2025,(6):119~143

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-30
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