股票指数调整、外部融资行为与公司杠杆率——基于中证500指数的断点回归分析
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Stock index adjustment, external financing behavior, and corporate leverage ratio: Regression discontinuity design based on CSI500 Index
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    摘要:

    基于中证500指数的定期调整,本研究采用模糊断点回归分析方法,探讨股票指数调整对中国上市公司外部融资行为和公司杠杆率的影响及其传导机制,检验外部环境和公司特征因素的异质性.研究发现:入选指数成分股后公司的债务融资额和权益融资额都在提高,但债务融资额增加幅度大于权益融资额,使得公司债务杠杆率上升.入选指数成分股主要通过提高内部治理水平和改善外部融资环境等影响外部融资行为和公司杠杆率.经济政策不确定性高时、牛市状态、分析师追踪数量少的公司、非国有企业和高成长性公司在入选指数成分股后公司杠杆率增加更显著.本研究证实了股票指数调整具有信息传递作用,应该通过信息改善提高公司治理和优化融资环境缓解公司融资约束,增加公司的外部融资机会进而调整公司杠杆率.

    Abstract:

    Based on the regular adjustment of the CSI500 Index, this paper uses the fuzzy regression discontinuity design method to explore the impact of stock index adjustments on corporate external financing behavior, leverage ratios, and its transmission mechanisms, while also testing the heterogeneity of macroeconomic uncertainty and corporate characteristic factors. The study finds that becoming a member of a stock index increases corporate equity financing and debt financing, but the increase in debt financing is greater than in equity financing, which causes an increase in the corporate leverage ratio. Becoming a member of a stock index mainly influences external financing behavior and the corporate leverage ratio by improving internal governance and improving external financing environment. Becoming a member of a stock index will significantly increase corporate external financing and leverage ratios in high economic policy uncertainties, bull markets, high growth companies, non-state-owned companies, and those with less analyst coverage. This paper confirms that stock index adjustments have information transmission effects. They should improve corporate governance and information environment to ease corporate financing constraints, increase corporate external financing opportunities, and finally adjust corporate leverage ratio.

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熊海芳,张倩,康书隆,王志强.股票指数调整、外部融资行为与公司杠杆率——基于中证500指数的断点回归分析[J].管理科学学报,2025,(6):144~163

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-30
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