区域间碳交互过程下的策略分析与碳市场影响研究
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Strategy analysis and carbon market influence under the interregional carbon interaction process
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    摘要:

    针对二氧化碳流动性引发的区域间碳交互问题,本文于碳市场背景下探讨了分散决策与集中管理两种模式下的区域碳管理策略,探究出各区域策略的演化趋势与碳减排效果,并提供区域实现特定碳治理效果的市场条件.结果表明:1)碳市场价格波动对区域内碳存量与管理策略演变产生异质性调控效果,且影响区域治理效果在两种模式下的占优特性;2)分散决策下提高博弈持续时间可明显降低区域碳产出的增长率,还可管控区域碳吸收的下降趋势.而且当一方无视当地污染水平时,另一方在两模式下的碳管理策略将趋于一致;3)对于污染影响大的区域,碳治理与经济增长的双重压力在集中管理模式可得到有效缓解.本文可为跨界碳交互过程下各区域碳管理策略的制定及区域跨界碳交互的高效治理提供政策启示.

    Abstract:

    The fluidity of carbon dioxide leads to cross-border carbon exchange. This paper explores decentralized decision-making and centralized management modes for regional carbon managing strategy under carbon market mechanisms. The evolutionary trends and impact of management strategies on each region are explored, and market conditions for achieving specific carbon governance effects in regions are analyzed. The results demonstrate that 1) carbon market price fluctuations have a significant regulatory effect on regional carbon stocks and emission reduction behavior, and can affect the dominant characteristics of regional emission reduction effects under the two modes. 2) Increasing the duration of the game can significantly reduce the growth rate of regional carbon production and control the downward trend of regional carbon absorption. Moreover, when one party almost ignores the local pollution level, the carbon management strategies of the other party are consistent under the two modes. 3) The dual pressures faced by downstream regions regarding carbon emission reduction and economic growth can be effectively alleviated under the centralized management mode. The conclusion of this paper provides policy suggestions for regions to formulate emission management strategies and to guide efficient governance of interactive carbon pollution in cross-border carbon pollution processes.

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王先甲,薛林昭,王璨,王琳琳.区域间碳交互过程下的策略分析与碳市场影响研究[J].管理科学学报,2025,(12):152~170

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-01-28
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