考虑政府激励与知识累积的燃煤电厂CCUS运营模式动态优化研究
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Dynamic optimization of CCUS operation modes for coalfired power plants considering government incentives and knowledge accumulation
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    摘要:

    加速燃煤电厂的碳捕集、利用和封存(CCUS)技术应用对促进全球绿色低碳发展意义重大.然而,鉴于该技术的高额成本,如何选择最优运营模式成为亟待解决的核心问题.本文构建了考虑政府激励与知识累积效应的燃煤电厂CCUS运营的微分博弈模型,对比分析一体化、运营商、合资及外包四种运营模式在成本控制和碳减排效益方面的差异,并通过案例分析进行验证.研究发现,政府补贴和碳交易政策是影响商业模式选择的重要外部因素,知识累积在推动CCUS技术采纳与成本优化方面起着关键作用,并且四种不同模式的适用性受到特定国家或地区经济、政策及技术环境的影响.本研究为燃煤发电企业投资决策提供了一定的理论和实践参考,并为政府完善相关产业政策提供决策依据.

    Abstract:

    Accelerating the application of carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) technology in coalfired power plants is of great significance for promoting global green and lowcarbon development. However, given the high cost of the technology, it is urgent to explore the optimal choice of CCUS operation modes. This paper constructs a differential game model for CCUS operation of coalfired power plants. Considering the influence of government incentives and knowledge accumulation, this paper compares and analyzes the differences in cost control and carbon emission reduction benefits among four operation modes, integration, operator, joint venture and outsourcing and further verifies the findings with case studies. The study finds that the choice of business model is affected by government subsidies and carbon trading policies. Knowledge accumulation plays a key role in CCUS technology adoption and cost optimization, and the choice among four different modes is affected by the economy, policy and technical environment of the country or region. This study offers both theoretical and practical guidance for the investment decisionmaking of coalfired power generation enterprises and serves as a basis for the government to improve industrial policy.

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陈晓红,马睿谦,张乘,汪阳洁.考虑政府激励与知识累积的燃煤电厂CCUS运营模式动态优化研究[J].管理科学学报,2026,(1):143~159

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-03-10
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