考虑偏差修正的Bootstrap假设检验及大规模关键质量因子筛选研究
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Bootstrap hypothesis testing with bias correction for screening large-scale quality factors
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    摘要:

    随着顾客需求的不断提高,产品已逐渐转为定制化、个性化生产模式,加之生产过程复杂化所导致的大规模因子,给现有的质量改进技术带来了巨大挑战.本文针对复杂化、定制化生产过程中因子数目大、样本量小的问题,提出了基于重抽样技术的关键因子筛选方法,为实现持续性质量改进奠定基础.首先,削弱了序贯分支因子筛选方法基于特定分布类型的模型假设,以适用小样本情形;其次,提出了不依赖于响应分布的序贯分支筛选步骤;然后,在利用自举法扩大样本量的基础上,提出了三种改进的学生t假设检验过程,用于每个分支过程中因子组效应的显著性检验;最后,通过蒙特卡洛仿真试验分别比较了所提的假设检验方法与经典的学生t检验的检验结果,并验证了所提方法在小样本、大规模关键因子筛选问题中的有效性及稳健性.

    Abstract:

    With the increasing complexity of customer demand, quality improvement faces significant challenges, as personalized and customized production patterns are frequently adopted and large-scale factors are involved in complex production. Aiming at the challenges posed by large-scale factors and small sample sizes in complex and customized production, this paper proposes a bootstrap-based factor screening method, which serves as the first stage of quality improvement. Firstly, a one-order polynomial model is adopted to fit the input-output relationship without assuming a specific distribution for the random term, accommodating the situation of small sample size. Secondly, the sequential bifurcation (SB) procedure is modified according to the distribution-free response model. Thirdly, three significance testing methods for factor effects are proposed, based on Students’ t test and enhanced through bootstrapping and bias correction procedures. Finally, Monte Carlo simulations are employed to compare the proposed significance testing methods with the classic Student’s t test under small sample sizes, and to verify the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed screening methods in both small-scale and large-scale factor scenarios.

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刘丽君,欧阳林寒,马义中,吴锋.考虑偏差修正的Bootstrap假设检验及大规模关键质量因子筛选研究[J].管理科学学报,2026,(4):85~103

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-03
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