税收征管与公司税负水平的动态调整
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Tax enforcement and dynamic adjustment of corporate tax burden
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    摘要:

    权衡理论认为公司存在目标税负水平,当偏离目标时公司会向其动态调整.关于税负水平动态调整背后的决定机制犹如“黑箱”,相关领域的研究刚刚起步,亟待学者们展开深入的研究.纳税遵从涉及公司与税务机关的博弈,而税务机关的征管无疑会影响公司向目标税负水平的调整.鉴于此,文章利用2003年—2019年A股上市公司构建研究样本,考察税收征管如何影响公司向目标税负水平的调整,检验结果表明:税收征管强度越高,公司向目标税负水平的调整速度越慢,表明税收征管对公司税负水平的调整具有抑制作用.多种稳健性检验下,上述结论依旧保持不变.进一步研究表明:税收征管抑制公司税负调整速度的机制包括降低税负调整动机和提高税负调整活动的实施成本两方面;税收征管对公司税负水平调整的影响具有非对称性,相较于向上调整税负水平(提高至目标值),税收征管对于公司向下调整税负水平(降低至目标值)的影响更为显著.异质性分析结果表明:税收征管对公司向目标税负水平调整速度的抑制作用在代理成本较高、媒体关注较多以及产品市场竞争程度较低的公司中更加明显.本研究不仅发现了公司向目标税负水平调整速度的影响因素,弥补了已有文献的不足,而且从动态视角考察税务机关征管活动对公司税务管理行为的影响,有助于全面揭示税收征管影响公司行为的逻辑和规律.

    Abstract:

    The trade-off theory implies that firms have target levels of tax burden and will adjust when the current levels of tax burden deviate from the target. Research on the determinants of the dynamic adjustment of tax burden has only recently begun and still remains a “black box”, requiring further in-depth research. Since tax compliance involves a strategic interaction between firms and tax authorities, tax enforcement will undoubtedly affect the adjustment of firms towards their target tax burdens. In view of this, this paper uses A-share listed firms from 2003 to 2019 to construct the research sample and examine the impact of tax enforcement on the speed at which firms adjust towards their target tax burdens. The test results show that the higher the level of tax enforcement, the slower the adjustment speed toward the target tax burdens, indicating that tax enforcement has an inhibitory effect on firms’ tax burden adjustment. Under various robustness tests, the conclusions remain unchanged. Further analyses show that tax enforcement restrains the speed of tax burden adjustment through two channels: Reducing firms’motivation for tax burden adjustment and increasing the costs of implementing tax adjustment activities. The impact of tax enforcement on the dynamic adjustment of tax burden is asymmetric. Compared with upward adjustments of the tax burden level (increasing to the target value), the impact of tax enforcement on the downward adjustment of the tax burden level (reducing to the target value) is more significant. The results of heterogeneity analysis show that the inhibitory effect of tax enforcement on the speed of adjustment toward the target tax burden is more obvious in firms with higher agency costs, more media attention, and lower level of product market competition. This paper not only sheds light on the determinants of the speed at which firms adjust their tax burdens but also addresses the insufficiencies of the existing literature. Furthermore, it investigates the influence of tax enforcement activities of the tax authorities on firms’ tax management behavior from a dynamic perspective, providing a comprehensive understanding of how tax enforcement affects firms’ behavior.

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王亮亮,张海洋,杨丹.税收征管与公司税负水平的动态调整[J].管理科学学报,2026,(5):124~140

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-29
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