突发事件下中小企业信贷展期的激励机制研究——税收优惠vs.财政贴息
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Incentive mechanisms for SMEs credit extension in emergencies: Tax preferences vs. fiscal interest subsidies
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    摘要:

    供应商(中小企业)遭受突发事件导致需求中断后,通常会由于现金流问题造成信贷违约,政府如何激励银行提供信贷展期帮助中小企业恢复是亟待解决的问题.本研究构建了政府-银行-供应商的三阶段博弈模型,研究了在政府提供财政贴息、税收优惠两种扶持政策下,银行是否提供信贷展期与最优利率决策,以及供应商最优恢复努力水平决策.研究表明:银行提供信贷展期应该综合考虑供应商恢复努力成本系数和每周期固定支出成本;两种政策均会对银行提供信贷展期起到激励作用,但前提是政府预算必须要达到“补贴门槛”;政府补贴容易导致银行提高利率,从而使得供应商努力水平下降,造成社会福利减少,因此政府的最优补贴比例是让银行从不展期到展期;如果政府预算充足应该选择税收优惠政策,反之应该选择财政贴息政策.最后,分别考虑银行信息不对称和政府信息不对称,分析了均衡策略的变化.

    Abstract:

    When suppliers (SMEs) face emergencies that cause demand disruptions, they usually default on credit due to cash flow problems, and how the government incentivizes banks to extend credit to aid SME recovery remains an urgent issue. In this paper, a three-stage government-bank-supplier game model is constructed to examine whether banks offer credit extensions and optimal interest rate decisions, as well as the optimal level of suppliers’demand recovery effort under two different government subsidy policies, namely fiscal interest subsidies and tax preferences. Findings indicate that banks providing credit extensions should comprehensively consider the coefficient of the supplier’s recovery effort costs and fixed expenditure cost per cycle.Both policies encourage banks to extend credit, but only if the government budget meets the “subsidy threshold”.Government subsidies tend to prompt banks to raise interest rates, which in turn reduces the effort of suppliers and causes a decrease in social welfare.Consequently, the optimal government subsidy ratio is that which encourage banks to shift from not extending credit to extending credit. If the government budget is sufficient, it should opt for tax preference policy;otherwise, a fiscal interest subsidy should be chosen. Finally, considering information asymmetry in banks and the government separately, changes in equilibrium strategies are analyzed.

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王文利,任毅.突发事件下中小企业信贷展期的激励机制研究——税收优惠vs.财政贴息[J].管理科学学报,2026,(6):106~119

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-03
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