移动支付随机折扣促销对商家销售的影响——基于商家业绩的实证研究
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Impact of mobile payment random discount promotion on merchant sales: An empirical study based on merchant performance
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    摘要:

    在移动支付日渐普及的过程中,支付促销活动发挥着重要作用.作为以商家和用户同时参与的双边市场,移动支付服务商向用户提供支付促销优惠时,同样会对商家产生显著影响.本研究通过分析40家连锁便利店5个月的销售数据,从双边市场的角度研究了移动支付服务商提供给用户的促销活动,对商店销售业绩的影响.在此期间,腾讯推出了微信支付随机立减的促销活动,用户在周二使用微信支付时可以获得随机金额的折扣.基于此,本研究将周二作为实验组,采用双重差分(DID)方法分析了微信支付随机折扣促销对商家销售业绩的影响.研究结果表明,移动支付的随机折扣促销在促销当天对商家销售业绩有显著的积极影响,并通过进一步分析排除了销售增长可能是由于用户滞后或提前消费导致的可能性.同时,本研究还分析了该随机折扣促销的持续动态效果,发现随机折扣促销对商家销售业绩的影响,随着时间发展呈现先增加后减弱的趋势.最后,研究发现,商家订单中的微信支付使用占比对该促销活动对销售业绩的影响起到了调节作用,订单中微信支付使用率越高的商家其销售业绩受到促销活动的影响越大.

    Abstract:

    As mobile payment becomes increasingly widespread, promotional activities play a crucial role in driving its adoption. In a two-sided market involving both merchants and customers, mobile payment providers offering promotional discounts to users also significantly impact merchants. This study analyzes five months of sales data from 40 chain convenience stores to examine the effect of user-targeted promotions by mobile payment providers on store sales performance. During this period, Tencent launched a WeChat Pay promotion offering random discounts to users who made payments on Tuesdays. Based on this, the study applies the Difference-in-Differences (DID) method to analyze the impact of WeChat Pay’s random discount promotion on merchants’ sales performance. The results indicate that random discount promotions have a significant positive impact on merchants’ sales performance on the day of the promotion. Further analysis rules out the possibility that this sales growth is due to consumers delaying or advancing their purchases. Additionally, the study examines the dynamic effects of the promotion, investigating how the impact of the promotion evolves over time to address the question of the optimal promotional duration for merchants. Finally, the study finds that the proportion of payments made using WeChat Pay moderates the effect of the promotion on sales performance.

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荣鹰,王萌萌,田歆,刘乾超,王忆新.移动支付随机折扣促销对商家销售的影响——基于商家业绩的实证研究[J].管理科学学报,2026,(7):79~93

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-08-17
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