极端气温暴露与企业的债券融资成本
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Extreme temperature exposure and corporate bond financing costs
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    摘要:

    基于2007年—2022年我国上市企业分支机构所在地气温的栅格数据,本研究首次计算了各个季节行业内公司利润对气温的敏感程度,并测算了分行业-季度极端气温阈值.在此基础上,研究了企业极端气温暴露程度(即在一年内气温超过极端气温阈值的天数),对其债券融资成本的影响.研究发现:1)极端气温对中国企业的盈利能力存在广泛且显著的影响,59.7%的行业对气温的变动表现出了敏感性;2)极端气温暴露显著增加了企业债券融资成本,且在高温暴露和负面暴露下影响更为显著,而在低温暴露和正面暴露下则无显著影响;3)极端气温暴露更加显著地增加了民营企业、非贸易企业和劳动密集型企业债券发行利率.进一步的研究表明,极端气温暴露降低了企业绩效、增加违约概率,导致了企业的债券融资成本上升,良好的环境表现能够有效地对冲极端气温对债券融资成本的影响,而外部融资依赖度越高的企业其债券融资成本越容易受到极端气温的影响.

    Abstract:

    This study investigates the impact of extreme temperature exposure on corporate bond financing costs in China. Using raster temperature data matched with the geographical locations of subsidiaries of listed firms over the period 2007-2022, this paper first estimates industry-level temperature sensitivities of corporate profitability by season and derives industry-quarter-specific extreme temperature thresholds. Based on these thresholds, it constructs a measure of firm-level extreme temperature exposure, defined as the annual number of days on which local temperatures exceed the corresponding threshold, and examines its effect on bond issuance yields. The results show that: 1) Extreme temperatures exert widespread and significant effects on corporate profitability, with 59.7% of industries exhibiting statistically significant temperature sensitivity; 2) Greater extreme temperature exposure is associated with higher bond financing costs, an effect driven primarily by heat and negative temperature deviations, whereas cold and positive deviations show no significant impact; And 3) The adverse effect is more pronounced for non-state-owned enterprises, non-tradable goods enterprises, and labor-intensive firms. Mechanism analyses indicate that extreme temperature exposure impairs firm performance and elevates default risk, thereby raising financing costs. It further finds that strong environmental performance mitigates this adverse effect, while firms with higher reliance on external financing are more vulnerable to temperature shocks. These findings highlight climate physical risk as a financially material factor in corporate debt markets.

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何青,姚天宇,冯浩铭,陈昭晶.极端气温暴露与企业的债券融资成本[J].管理科学学报,2026,(7):141~155

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-08-17
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