Day-to-day travel choice dynamics with guidance information in degradable transport network
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    Abstract:

    It is assumed that travelers adjust route choices according to updated experience and guidance information from the Reliable Path Searching System in the form of a travel time budget in degradable transport network.With the consideration of bounded rationality and reference dependency,we develop a descriptive dayto-day dynamic model of network flow in the framework of Cumulative Prospect Theory ( CPT) . This model reveals how travelers learn,update and adjust their travel time budgets as well as route choices from day-to-day.The properties of the day-to-day dynamic model are then discussed,and a solution algorithm is proposed to solve the model. We then conduct numerical examples to illustrate its properties,and it was demonstrated that the day-to-day dynamics can quickly evolve to be convergent when the guidance information is relatively accurate ( with smaller prediction error) . Furthermore,the convergence state of the day-to-day dynamic model is approximately identical to Wardrop user equilibrium. Such an understanding of complex travel behaviour has important implications on transportation planning and management.

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  • Online: April 17,2018
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