Accrual information,institutional investor reaction and stock mispricing
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    Abstract:

    Using order imbalances as a measure of investor trading behavior based on intraday transaction da-ta,this paper empirically investigates institutional investors’immediate reaction to accrual information and its impact on stock prices. The results show institutional investors trade in an accrual-contrarian fashion: they buy low-accrual firms and sell high-accrual firms only when the previously-announced earnings signal is positive. When accrual-contrarian trading exhibited by institutions is intense,the accrual predicts negative short-term stock returns but positive long-term returns. In other words,the stock price experiences a long-term reversal after the earnings announcement. Further investigation suggests the positive predictability of accrual on stock price in the long run cannot be fully explained by risk-based asset pricing models. These results indicate insti-tutional investor’s reaction to accrual information generates a mispricing of accruals induced by market overre-action.

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  • Online: April 14,2018
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