The deviation of interest rate parity,capital account liberalization,and economic fluctuations
DOI:
Author:
Affiliation:

Clc Number:

F831

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
  • |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    Based on some“Chinese characteristics”such as capital account liberalization,reform of exchange settlement system,sterilized intervention and so on,this paper introduces international risk premium and builds a small open economy DSGE model to analyze the impact of capital account liberalization on economic fluctuations and welfare when interest rate parity does not hold. Theoretical analysis and numerical simulation show that: 1) The increase in deviation of Interest Rate Parity increases the inflation volatility,exacerbates the economic fluctuations,and decreases welfare. If the central bank ignores the impact of deviation of interest rate parity,the influence of foreign monetary policy shock on domestic inflation,economic fluctuations and welfare will be underestimated. 2) Capital account liberalization reduces the inflation volatility and economic fluctuations,and enhances social welfare. Therefore,China should insist on capital account liberalization,and interest rate and exchange rate marketization,which can reduce the international risk premium and further improve the payoff of capital account liberalization.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation
Share
Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: October 25,2021
  • Published:
You are the th visitor Address:Room 908, Building A, 25th Teaching Building, Tianjin University, 92 Weijin Road, Nankai District, Tianjin Postcode:300072
Telephone:022-27403197 Email:jmsc@tju.edu.cn