Asset pricing based on over-extrapolation
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F830.2

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    Abstract:

    Based on the pure exchange economic model of Lucas and the partial information assumptions,this paper investigates the effects of over-extrapolation belief biases that the representative agent exhibits in the learning process on the market equilibrium and asset prices. The conclusions show that even with a low coefficient of relative risk aversion,the over-extrapolation belief biases can not only reduce the risk-free rate,but also enhance the risk premium and return volatility of the risky asset. Therefore,this paper provides a unified theoretical framework that can simultaneously explain the equity premium puzzle,interest rate puzzle,and volatility puzzle.

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  • Online: October 25,2021
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